Identification of predictive factors of diabetic ketoacidosis in type 1 diabetes using a subgroup discovery algorithm.

AIM: To identify predictive factors for diabetic ketoacidosis (DKA) by retrospective analysis of registry data and the use of a subgroup discovery algorithm. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Data from adults and children with type 1 diabetes and more than two diabetes-related visits were analysed from the Diabetes Prospective Follow-up Registry. Q-Finder, a supervised non-parametric proprietary subgroup discovery algorithm, was used to identify subgroups with clinical characteristics associated with increased DKA risk. DKA was defined as pH less than 7.3 during a hospitalization event. RESULTS: Data for 108 223 adults and children, of whom 5609 (5.2%) had DKA, were studied. Q-Finder analysis identified 11 profiles associated with an increased risk of DKA: low body mass index standard deviation score; DKA at diagnosis; age 6-10 years; age 11-15 years; an HbA1c of 8.87% or higher (≥ 73 mmol/mol); no fast-acting insulin intake; age younger than 15 years and not using a continuous glucose monitoring system; physician diagnosis of nephrotic kidney disease; severe hypoglycaemia; hypoglycaemic coma; and autoimmune thyroiditis. Risk of DKA increased with the number of risk profiles matching patients' characteristics. CONCLUSIONS: Q-Finder confirmed common risk profiles identified by conventional statistical methods and allowed the generation of new profiles that may help predict patients with type 1 diabetes who are at a greater risk of experiencing DKA.

Impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on long-term trends in the prevalence of diabetic ketoacidosis at diagnosis of paediatric type 1 diabetes: an international multicentre study based on data from 13 national diabetes registries.

BACKGROUND: An increased prevalence of diabetic ketoacidosis at diagnosis of type 1 diabetes in children was observed in various diabetes centres worldwide during the COVID-19 pandemic. We aimed to evaluate trends in the prevalence of diabetic ketoacidosis at diagnosis of paediatric type 1 diabetes before and during the COVID-19 pandemic, and to identify potential predictors of changes in diabetic ketoacidosis prevalence during the pandemic. METHODS: For this international multicentre study, we used data from 13 national diabetes registries (Australia, Austria, Czechia, Denmark, Germany, Italy, Luxembourg, New Zealand, Norway, Slovenia, Sweden, USA [Colorado], and Wales). The study population comprised 104 290 children and adolescents aged 6 months to younger than 18 years, who were diagnosed with type 1 diabetes between Jan 1, 2006, and Dec 31, 2021. The observed diabetic ketoacidosis prevalence in 2020 and 2021 was compared to predictions based on trends over the pre-pandemic years 2006-19. Associations between changes in diabetic ketoacidosis prevalence and the severity of the COVID-19 pandemic and containment measures were examined with excess all-cause mortality in the whole population and the Stringency Index from the Oxford COVID-19 Government Response Tracker. FINDINGS: 87 228 children and adolescents were diagnosed with type 1 diabetes between 2006 and 2019, 8209 were diagnosed in 2020, and 8853 were diagnosed in 2021. From 2006 to 2019, diabetic ketoacidosis at diagnosis of type 1 diabetes was present in 23 775 (27·3%) of 87 228 individuals and the mean annual increase in the prevalence of diabetic ketoacidosis in the total cohort from 2006 to 2019 was 1·6% (95% CI 1·3 to 1·9). The adjusted observed prevalence of diabetic ketoacidosis at diagnosis of type 1 diabetes was 39·4% (95% CI 34·0 to 45·6) in 2020 and 38·9% (33·6 to 45·0) in 2021, significantly higher than the predicted prevalence of 32·5% (27·8 to 37·9) for 2020 and 33·0% (28·3 to 38·5) for 2021 (p<0·0001 for both years). The prevalence of diabetic ketoacidosis was associated with the pandemic containment measures, with an estimated risk ratio of 1·037 (95% CI 1·024 to 1·051; p<0·0001) per ten-unit increase in the Stringency Index for 2020 and 1·028 (1·009 to 1·047; p=0·0033) for 2021, but was not significantly associated with excess all-cause mortality. INTERPRETATION: During the COVID-19 pandemic, there was a marked exacerbation of the pre-existing increase in diabetic ketoacidosis prevalence at diagnosis of type 1 diabetes in children. This finding highlights the need for early and timely diagnosis of type 1 diabetes in children and adolescents. FUNDING: German Federal Ministry for Education and Research, German Robert Koch Institute, German Diabetes Association, German Diabetes Foundation, Slovenian Research Agency, Welsh Government, Central Denmark Region, and Swedish Association of Local Authorities and Regions.

Disease heterogeneity of adult diabetes based on routine clinical variables at diagnosis: Results from the German/Austrian Diabetes Follow-up Registry.

AIM: To cluster adults with diabetes using variables from real-world clinical care at manifestation. MATERIALS AND METHODS: We applied hierarchical clustering using Ward's method to 56 869 adults documented in the prospective Diabetes Follow-up Registry (DPV). Clustering variables included age, sex, body mass index (BMI), HbA1c, diabetic ketoacidosis (DKA), components of the metabolic syndrome (hypertension/dyslipidaemia/hyperuricaemia) and beta-cell antibody status. Time until use of oral antidiabetic drugs (OADs), use of insulin, chronic kidney disease (CKD), cardiovascular disease (CVD), retinopathy or neuropathy were assessed using Kaplan-Meier analysis and Cox regression models. RESULTS: We identified eight clusters: four clusters comprised early diabetes onset (median age 40-50 years) but differed with regard to BMI, HbA1c, DKA and antibody positivity. Two clusters included adults with diabetes onset aged in their early 60s who met target HbA1c, but differed in BMI and sex distribution. Two clusters were characterized by late diabetes onset (median age 69 and 77 years) and comparatively low BMI, but differences in HbA1c. Earlier insulin use was observed in adults with high HbA1c, and earlier OAD use was observed in those with high BMI. Time until CKD or CVD was shorter in those with late onset, whereas retinopathy occurred earlier in adults with late onset and high HbA1c, and in adults with early onset, but high HbA1c and high percentage of antibody positivity. CONCLUSIONS: Adult diabetes is heterogeneous beyond classical type 1/type 2 diabetes, based on easily available variables in clinical practice using an automated clustering algorithm that allows both continuous and binary variables.

Changes in HbA1c Between 2011 and 2017 in Germany/Austria, Sweden, and the United States: A Lifespan Perspective.

Aims: This study assessed hemoglobin A1c (HbA1c) across the lifespan in people with type 1 diabetes (T1D) in Germany/Austria, Sweden, and the United States between 2011 and 2017 to ascertain temporal and age-related trends. Methods: Data from the Diabetes-Patienten-Verlaufsdokumentation (DPV) (n = 25,651 in 2011, n = 29,442 in 2017); Swedish Pediatric Diabetes Quality Registry (SWEDIABKIDS)/National Diabetes Register (NDR), (n = 44,474 in 2011, n = 53,690 in 2017); and T1D Exchange (n = 16,198 in 2011, n = 17,087 in 2017) registries were analyzed by linear regression to compare mean HbA1c overall and by age group. Results: Controlling for age, sex, and T1D duration, HbA1c increased in the United States between 2011 and 2017, decreased in Sweden, and did not change in Germany/Austria. Controlling for sex and T1D duration, mean HbA1c decreased between 2011 and 2017 in all age cohorts in Sweden (P < 0.001). In the United States, HbA1c stayed the same for participants <6 years and 45 to <65 years and increased in all other age groups (P < 0.05). In Germany/Austria, HbA1c stayed the same for participants <6 to <13 years and 18 to <25 years; decreased for participants ages 13 to <18 years (P < 0.01); and increased for participants ≥25 years (P < 0.05). Conclusions: The comparison of international trends in HbA1c makes it possible to identify differences, explore underlying causes, and share quality improvement processes. National quality improvement initiatives are well accepted in Europe but have yet to be implemented systematically in the United States. However, disparities created by the lack of universal access to health care coverage, unequal access to diabetes technologies (e.g., continuous glucose monitoring) regardless of insurance status, and high out-of-pocket cost for the underinsured ultimately limit the potential of quality improvement initiatives.

Diabetic Ketoacidosis at Manifestation of Type 1 Diabetes in Childhood and Adolescence­Incidence and Risk Factors.

BACKGROUND: Diabetic ketoacidosis (DKA) is a potentially life-threatening metabolic disorder that can occur with manifestation of type 1 diabetes mellitus (T1D). The aim of this study was to analyze the incidence of DKA at the time of the diagnosis of T1D in childhood and adolescence, the risk factors, and regional approaches to reduce the incidence of ketoacidosis. METHODS: We investigated the proportion of patients under 18 years of age with DKA (defined as pH <7.3, severe DKA pH <7.1) at the manifestation of T1D in Germany in the period 2000-2019, based on data from the German-Austrian registry of diabetes (Diabetes-Patienten-Verlaufsdokumentation, DPV). The influence of the following factors was evaluated: year of manifestation, age, sex, family history of migration (MiH), and distance from the hospital. Moreover, data from the region with and the region without a pilot screening project from 2015 onwards were compared. RESULTS: Of the 41 189 patients with manifestation of T1D, 19.8% presented with DKA (n = 8154, slight increase [p <0.001] over the study period) and 6.1% (n = 2513) had severe DKA. Children under 6 years of age had DKA more often than adolescents (12-17 years) (21.7% versus 18.6%, OR 1.22 {95% CI: [1.14; 1.30]}). Girls had a higher rate of DKA than boys (20.5% versus 19.2%, OR 1.10 [1.03; 1.14]), and patients with MiH were more likely to have DKA than those without MiH (21.4% versus 18.2%, OR 1.40 [1.32; 1.48]). In the region with a pilot screening project, the DKA rate stayed the same, at 20.6%, while in the control region the rate was 22.7% with a decreasing tendency. CONCLUSION: The frequency of DKA at the time of diagnosis of T1D did not decrease between 2000 and 2019 and increased towards the end of the observation period. Children with MiH, children under 6, and girls were at a higher risk of DKA.

Personal Glycation Factors and Calculated Hemoglobin A1c for Diabetes Management: Real-World Data from the Diabetes Prospective Follow-up (DPV) Registry.

Background: Glycated hemoglobin A1c (HbA1c) is a key biomarker in the glycemic management of individuals with diabetes, but the relationship with glucose levels can be variable. A recent kinetic model has described a calculated HbA1c (cHbA1c) that is individual specific. Our aim was to validate the routine clinical use of this glucose metric in younger individuals with diabetes under real-life settings. Materials and Methods: We retrieved HbA1c and glucose data from the German-Austrian-Swiss-Luxembourgian diabetes follow-up (DPV) registry, which covers pediatric individuals with type 1 diabetes (T1D). The new glycemic measure, cHbA1c, uses two individual parameters identified by data sections that contain continuous glucose data between two laboratory HbA1c measurements. The cHbA1c was prospectively validated using longitudinal HbA1c data. Results: Continuous glucose monitoring data from 352 T1D individuals in 13 clinics were analyzed together with HbA1c that ranged between 4.9% and 10.6%. In the prospective analysis, absolute deviations of estimated HbA1c (eHbA1c), glucose management indicator (GMI), and cHbA1c compared with laboratory HbA1c were (median [interquartile range]): 1.01 (0.50, 1.75), 0.46 (0.21, 084) and 0.26 (0.12, 0.46), giving an average bias of 0.6, 0.4 and 0.0, respectively, in National Glycohemoglobin Standardization Program (NGSP) % unit. For eHbA1c and GMI only 25% and 54% of subjects were within ±0.5% of laboratory HbA1c values, whereas 82% of cHbA1c were within ±0.5% of laboratory HbA1c results. Conclusions: Our data show the superior performance of cHbA1c compared with eHbA1c and GMI at reflecting laboratory HbA1c. These data indicate that cHbA1c can be potentially used instead in laboratory HbA1c, at least in younger individuals with T1D.

Intermittently Scanned Glucose Values for Continuous Monitoring: Cross-Sectional Analysis of Glycemic Control and Hypoglycemia in 1809 Children and Adolescents with Type 1 Diabetes.

Background and Objective: Intermittent scanning continuous glucose monitoring (iscCGM) is increasingly used for glycemic monitoring in diabetes care. In this cross-sectional real-world analysis, iscCGM data were compared to traditional parameters of glycemic control in young people with type 1 diabetes. Methods: Using the DPV registry, most recent data from children and adolescents aged <18 years with uploaded iscCGM sensor profiles with at least 14 days of data and a > 50% completeness were evaluated using recommended parameters of sensor metrics. Analysis was performed stratified by age group, glycemic control, and type of therapy; data were taken from DPV data pool in February 2020. Results: Glucose sensor profiles and clinical data from 1809 individuals (mean age 13.4 years, 53% male, and mean diabetes duration 5.02 years) were evaluated in this study. More than 50% of this population (n = 965) reached the current German treatment target of hemoglobin A1c (HbA1c) <7.5%. In this target, the mean scanning frequency was higher than in groups with HbA1c >7.5 or >8.0% (12.0 vs. 10.2 vs 7.6 times per day). The group of preschool children had the highest frequency of scanning (16.6 vs. 13.3 times per day in school kids and 7.9 in adolescents), the lowest HbA1c level, and the lowest risk for hypoglycemia (low blood glucose index 0.8 vs. 1.0 vs 1.2). Conclusion: Real-world data will help to determine the value of iscCGM to improve clinical and patient-related outcomes in pediatric diabetology. Not only the use of a device but also the intensity of use seems to have a high and direct impact on glycemic control.

Demographic characteristics and acute complications among adults with type 1 diabetes: Comparison of two multicentre databases from Germany and the United States.

BACKGROUND: Studies on acute complications in adult T1D were previously reported from the United States (U.S.) and from Germany. The aim was to compare demographic characteristics and patterns of severe hypoglycaemia (SH) and diabetic ketoacidosis (DKA) between Germany and the U.S. METHODS: Descriptive comparison on individuals aged ≥18 years, with T1D duration ≥2 years were made between the German diabetes-patient registry (DPV) and the U.S. electronic-health-record database (T1PCO). Individuals in both databases were divided into patients with haemoglobin A1c (HbA1c) <7% and HbA1c ≥7%. RESULTS: 5190 (DPV) and 31,430 individuals (T1PCO) fulfilled the inclusion criteria. DPV patients were younger, more often male and had lower body-mass index. In both databases, more males than females had HbA1c <7%. Individuals had higher HbA1c in T1PCO compared to DPV. The relationship between HbA1c and DKA was similar in both databases. SH revealed a U-shaped curve in T1PCO, but no clear pattern was present in DPV. SH events increased with higher age in DPV, but not in T1PCO. CONCLUSION: Patterns of SH differ between Germany and U.S. Differences in capture of SH among the databases cannot be excluded, but differences in health care including patient education and level of care by specialists are likely.

Temporal trends in diabetic ketoacidosis at diagnosis of paediatric type 1 diabetes between 2006 and 2016: results from 13 countries in three continents.

AIMS/HYPOTHESIS: The aim of this work was to evaluate geographical variability and trends in the prevalence of diabetic ketoacidosis (DKA), between 2006 and 2016, at the diagnosis of childhood-onset type 1 diabetes in 13 countries over three continents. METHODS: An international retrospective study on DKA at diagnosis of diabetes was conducted. Data on age, sex, date of diabetes diagnosis, ethnic minority status and presence of DKA at diabetes onset were obtained from Australia, Austria, Czechia, Denmark, Germany, Italy, Luxembourg, New Zealand, Norway, Slovenia, Sweden, USA and the UK (Wales). Mean prevalence was estimated for the entire period, both overall and by country, adjusted for sex and age group. Temporal trends in annual prevalence of DKA were estimated using logistic regression analysis for each country, before and after adjustment for sex, age group and ethnic minority status. RESULTS: During the study period, new-onset type 1 diabetes was diagnosed in 59,000 children (median age [interquartile range], 9.0 years [5.5-11.7]; male sex, 52.9%). The overall adjusted DKA prevalence was 29.9%, with the lowest prevalence in Sweden and Denmark and the highest in Luxembourg and Italy. The adjusted DKA prevalence significantly increased over time in Australia, Germany and the USA while it decreased in Italy. Preschool children, adolescents and children from ethnic minority groups were at highest risk of DKA at diabetes diagnosis in most countries. A significantly higher risk was also found for females in Denmark, Germany and Slovenia. CONCLUSIONS/INTERPRETATION: DKA prevalence at type 1 diabetes diagnosis varied considerably across countries, albeit it was generally high and showed a slight increase between 2006 and 2016. Increased awareness of symptoms to prevent delay in diagnosis is warranted, especially in preschool children, adolescents and children from ethnic minority groups.

Undertreatment of cardiovascular risk factors in the type 1 diabetes exchange clinic network (United States) and the prospective diabetes follow-up (Germany/Austria) registries.

AIM: To examine the control of cardiovascular risk factors in type 1 diabetes (T1D) registries from the United States and Germany/Austria. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Data on individuals aged ≥12 years with T1D for ≥1 year, from the T1D Exchange Clinic Network (T1DX, United States) and the Prospective Diabetes Follow-up Registry (DPV, Germany/Austria) from 1 January 2016 to 31 March 2018 were analysed. Linear and logistic regression models adjusted for age groups, sex, duration of diabetes and minority status were used to compare clinical characteristics and achievement of diabetes management targets between registries. RESULTS: The cohort consisted of 47 936 patients (T1DX, n = 19 442; DPV, n = 28 494). Achievement of HbA1c goals (<7.0%, ages 18-65 years; all others, <7.5%) was better in the DPV for those aged <65 years (all P < .001). However, more older adults (aged ≥65 years) in the T1DX achieved an HbA1c goal of <7.5% compared with DPV (70% vs. 50%, P < .001). The frequency of patients with overweight (53% vs. 51%, P < .001) and obesity (19% vs. 9%, P < .001) was higher in T1DX. The frequency of meeting blood pressure goals (84% vs. 66%, P < .001) and lipid goals (73% vs. 62%, P < .001) was higher in T1DX; this was observed across all age groups (all P < .001). Few young adults aged <26 years received antihypertensive and lipid-lowering medications, respectively, despite indications in both registries (T1DX: 5% and 3%, DPV: 3% and 1%). CONCLUSION: A minority of patients with T1D achieve glycaemic targets and the majority are inadequately treated for hypertension and dyslipidaemia. This highlights the need for improved diabetes and cardiovascular risk management strategies in T1D.